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Futures and Forex Trading
Technical Analysis
Introduction
It is important to note that the Technical Analysis Overview provided does not attempt to be a comprehensive treatment of Charting
or Technical Analysis methods. This is a brief and simplistic review of some basic charting concepts are provided for reference or to
stimulate further study. Please contact us for a recommended reading list on Charting and Technical Analysis.
Technical Analysis makes the assumption that history repeats itself. Any trading method or system that works well on a broad
sample of historical data, may have validity when applied to future trading environments. One should keep in mind that the markets
are dynamic. The forces that motivate price movement are dynamic, and the participants are dynamic. Therefore any system which
has performed well on past historic data may decline in value as the evolving dynamics of the markets change over time.
The assumption is made that trading results can be improved when trading skills are improved. This requires practice! Surely any
time spent learning to trade on past historical data, will not be wasted when it comes to preparing to trade for the future.
Trendlines
Inclining Trendline
A straight line usually drawn to define an uptrend against or through price bar lows.
Declining Trendline
A straight line usually drawn to define a downtrend against or through price bar highs.
Support
A horizontal floor where interest in buying a commodity is strong enough to overcome the
pressure to sell. Therefore a decrease in price is reversed and prices rise once again.
Typically, support can be identified on a chart by a previous set of lows.
Resistance
A horizontal ceiling where the pressure to sell is greater than the pressure to buy. Therefore,
an increase in price is reversed and prices revert downward. Typically resistance can be
located on a chart by a previous set of highs.
Channels
Inclining Channel
The inclining channel is a formation with parallel price barriers along both the price ceiling
and floor. Unlike the sideways channel the inclining channel has an increase in both the
price ceiling and price floor.
Declining Channel
The declining channel is a formation with parallel price barriers along both the price
ceiling and floor. Unlike the sideways channel the declining channel has a decrease in
both the price ceiling and price floor.
Horizontal or Sideways Channel
A horizontal or sideways is a formation that features both resistance and support. Support
forms the low price bar, while resistance provides the price ceiling.
Triangles
Symmetrical
A formation in which the slope of price highs and lows are converging to a point so as to
outline the pattern in a symmetrical triangle. To trade this formation place a buy order on
a break up an out of the triangle or a sell order on a break down and out of the triangle.
Non-Symmetrical
A formation in which the slope of price highs and lows are converging to a point so as to
outline the pattern in a non-symmetrical triangle. To trade this formation, place a buy order
on a break up an out of the triangle or a sell order on a break down and out of the triangle.
Ascending Triangle
A formation in which the slope of price highs and lows come together at a point outlining
the pattern of a Right Triangle. The hypotenuse in an Ascending Triangle should be sloping
from lower to higher and from left to right. To trade this formation, place a buy order on a
break up and out of the triangle or a sell order on a break down and out of the triangle.
Ascending triangles, with a prior downtrend, are anticipated to break down and out, rather
than up and out.
Descending Triangle
A formation in which the slope of price highs and lows come together at a point outlining
the pattern of a Right Triangle. The hypotenuse in an Descending Triangle should be
sloping from higher to lower and left to right. To trade this formation, place a buy order
on a break up and out of the triangle or a sell order on a break down and out of the
triangle. Descending triangles, with a prior uptrend, are anticipated to break up and out,
rather than down and out.
Pennants & Wedges
Pennants
Similar to a Symmetrical Triangle but generally stubbier or not as elongated. A formation in
which the slope of price bar highs and lows are converging to a point so as to outline the
pattern in a symmetrical triangle. To trade this formation, you can place orders at both the
break up and out of the pennant and break down and out of the pennant.
Rising or Inclining Wedge
This formation occurs when the slope of price bar highs and lows join at a point forming
an inclining wedge. The slope of both lines is up with the lower line being steeper than
the higher one. To trade this formation, place an order on a break up and out of the
wedge or a sell order on a break down and out the wedge. Rising wedges, with a prior
downtrend are anticipated to break down and out, rather than up and out.
Falling or Declining Wedge
This formation occurs when the slope of price bar highs and lows join at a point forming an
declining wedge. The slope of both lines is down with the upper line being steeper than the
lower one. To trade this formation, place an order on a break up and out of the wedge or a
sell order on a break down and out the wedge. Falling wedges, with a prior uptrend, are
anticipated to break up and out, rather than
Flags
Bull Flag
A formation consisting of a small number of price bars where the slope of price bar highs
and lows are parallel and declining. Bull Flags are identified by their characteristic pattern
and by the context of the prior trend. In the case of a Bull Flag the trend leading to the
formation of the Bull Flag is up. To trade this formation, place orders on the break up and
break down points, leaving your unfilled order as your stop loss.
Bear Flag
A formation consisting of a small number of price bars in which the slope of price bar
highs and lows are parallel and inclining. Bear Flags are identified by their characteristic
pattern and by the context of the prior trend. In the case of a Bear Flag the trend leading
to the formation of the Bear Flag is down. To trade this formation, place buy and sell
orders on the break up and down of the flag, leaving the unfilled order as your stop loss.
1-2-3 (A-B-C) Formations
1-2-3 (A-B-C) Top
Anticipates a change in trend from up to down on a break below the number 2 point.
1-2-3 (A-B-C) Bottom
Anticipates a change in trend from down to up on a break above the number 2 point.
Head and Shoulders Formations
Head and Shoulders Top
Anticipates a decline on a break below the Neckline.
Head and Shoulders Bottom
Anticipates a rise in prices on a break above the Neckline.
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